在以国内大循环为主体的“双循环”新发展格局背景下,构建消费中心城市,不仅可以促进消费、扩大内需、畅通国内经济大循环,还能起到推动区域协同发展的重要作用。文章基于城市竞争力理论和产业集群理论,采用全局熵值法、标准差椭圆、空间杜宾模型等方法,对2013—2019年中国五大城市群涵盖的91个地级及以上城市划分消费中心城市层级,考察各城市群消费中心城市的时空演变趋势和影响因素情况。研究结果表明:①中国各大城市群内部存在双核或三核消费增长极,辐射带动周边城市消费中心城市指数提升;②各城市群的消费中心城市在空间分布格局和时空演变趋势上均存在一定差异,除成渝城市群和长江中游城市群外,各城市群的消费中心城市都呈现出空间集聚的现象,且长三角城市群的集聚程度最大;③消费中心城市的影响因素呈现出较为明显的空间异质性,经济发展、产业结构、城镇化率对消费中心城市的建设和发展产生促进作用,城乡收入差异呈现抑制作用。
In the context of the new development pattern of "double circulation" which is mainly based on the domestic circulation,the construction of consumption centre cities not only promotes consumption,expands domestic demand and unblocks the domestic economic circulation,but also plays an important role in promoting regional synergistic development. Based on urban competitiveness theory and industrial agglomeration theory,this paper adopts the global entropy method,standard deviation ellipse and spatial Durbin model to classify the 91 prefecture-level and above cities of China's five major urban agglomeration into consumption-centred cities from 2013 to 2019,and examine the spatiotemporal evolution of consumption-centred cities and its influencing factors in each urban agglomeration. The findings show that: 1) There are double-core or triple-core consumption growth poles in China's major urban agglomerations,which can drive up the consumption centre city index in neighbouring cities. 2) There are some differences in the spatial distribution pattern and evolution trends of the consumption centre cities in each urban agglomeration,the consumption centre cities show spatial agglomeration in all urban agglomeration except the Chengdu-Chongqing urban agglomeration and the middle reaches of Changjiang River urban agglomeration,it shows the highest agglomeration degree of the Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration. 3) The influencing factors of consumption-centred cities show more obvious spatial heterogeneity. Economic development,industrial structure and urbanization rate promote the construction and development of consumption-centred cities,urban-rural income differences shows a suppressive effect on the construction and development of consumption-centred cities.
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