DU Jin, MIAO Changhong, XU Jiawei, LYU Kewen, LI Chenyang
The high-quality development is a key driver for the evolution of China's economy and society to a higher form. This paper constructs an evaluation index system for the high-quality development of the Central Plains Urban Agglomeration from five dimensions: innovation, coordination, green, openness, and sharing. It employs methods such as the CRITIC method, Kernel density estimation, Markov chain, and Geodetector to explore the spatial-temporal pattern and influencing factors of high-quality development across 29 prefecture-level cities in the Central Plains Urban Agglomeration from 2011 to 2021.The study finds that: 1) From 2011 to 2021, the Central Plains Urban Agglomeration has shown a significant upward trend in the level of high-quality development. Innovation and sharing dimensions show the characteristics of rapid development, while coordination, openness, and green dimensions show the characteristics of more slow development but have still increased positively. 2) The high-quality development of the Central Plains Urban Agglomeration demonstrates a positive trend, with most cities maintaining their current levels or shifting towards higher levels, and cities at higher levels exhibit significant stability and a "club convergence" phenomenon. 3) The five dimensions of high-quality development exhibit significant spatial development imbalances: high-value areas in the innovation dimension are dispersed in a point-like distribution, while high-value areas in the coordination, innovation, and sharing dimensions are concentrated in specific areas, with the core development areas and northern cross-regional collaborative development demonstration areas showing significantly higher levels than other areas. Meanwhile, the green dimension is gradually moving towards balance. 4) In terms of the social, economic, and policy factors affecting the high-quality development level of the Central Plains Urban Agglomeration, the main driving forces are ranked as follows from high to low: digital economy, financial conditions, capital investment, education level, human capital. These factors show significant differences in their driving effects across different dimensions. This study provides new theoretical and empirical support for the high-quality development of the Central Plains Urban Agglomeration, offering important references for the optimization of regional development strategies and policy formulation.