综合运用PSR模型、熵权TOPSIS模型、地理探测器等方法,以东北限制开发区为研究对象,分析了2005—2015年东北限制开发区绿色发展时空格局及其影响因素,结果发现：①2005—2015年东北限制开发区绿色发展较高水平与高水平地级市数量稍有增加,但低水平与中水平地级市占比稳定在50%左右,折射出限制开发区绿色发展“嵌入式”与“刚性化”特征相对突出,绿色发展质量提升之路漫长而艰巨;②东北限制开发区绿色发展状态贴近度南北空间分异现象明显,绿色发展压力程度自南向北不断升高,而绿色发展响应水平呈现中部高、两边低的特点;③东北限制开发区绿色发展水平空间呈现中部高、南北两翼低的格局,且绿色发展水平相似地区集聚现象较为明显;④经济发展仍是东北限制开发区绿色发展的重要影响因素,且限制开发区绿色发展模式依赖于政府主导下的投资拉动,相对具有自上而下“指令性”发展特征。
On the basis of the PSR model, the entropy weight TOPSIS model, and the geographical detector method, taking the Northeast Restricted Development Zone as the research area, this paper analyzes the spatio-temporal pattern and the influencing factors of the green development in the Northeast Restricted Development Zone. The results indicate that: 1) The number of the Restricted Development Zone with high green development level rose slightly, but the proportion of the Restricted Development Zone with low green development level is stable around 50%, indicating that the "embedded" and "rigid" characteristics of the green development in the Restricted Development Zone are relatively prominent, and the road of green development quality improvement is long and arduous; 2) The spatial difference between the north area and the south area of green development state in the Northeast Restricted Development Zone is obvious, and the pressure level of green development is rising from the south to the north, and the response level of green development is high in the middle area and low in both side areas; 3) The spatial pattern of the green development level in the Northeast Restricted Development Zone shows high in the middle area and low in the north and the south, and the agglomeration phenomenon among the similar areas’ green development level is obvious; 4) The economic development is still an important factor affecting the green development of the Northeast Restricted Development Area, and the green development mode of the restricted development zone depends on the investment driven by the government, which has relatively top-down "commanding" development characteristics.
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