在构建新基建发展水平与经济韧性水平评价指标体系的基础上,运用耦合协调度模型、标准差椭圆与重心迁移模型、空间计量模型方法,探讨2011—2021年中国31个省域新基建与经济韧性耦合协调度的时空演化特征及驱动因素。结果表明：①中国新基建发展水平呈逐年攀升的时序演化特征;中国经济韧性水平呈“逐年增长—短期下降—延续回升”的时序演化特征。②观测期内中国新基建与经济韧性的耦合协调度不断攀升;在空间上,二者耦合协调度总体呈由东向西递减的空间演化特征,发展渐趋均衡化,且二者耦合协调度重心向西北方向移动。③虚拟集聚、投资规模、教育禀赋均正向驱动本地区二者耦合协调度的提升,政府干预、人力资本对本地区二者耦合协调度起到负向作用;投资规模、政府干预产生正向空间溢出效应,虚拟集聚、人力资本产生负向空间溢出效应,教育禀赋的空间溢出效应则不显著。
On the basis of building a evaluation index system of the development level of new infrastructure construction and economic resilience level,this paper discusses the spatial-temporal evolution characteristics and driving factors of the coupling coordination degree between new infrastructure construction and economic resilience in 31 provincial-level regions of China from 2011 to 2021 by using the methods of coupling coordination degree model,standard deviation ellipse model,spatial econometric model. The results indicate that: 1) The development level of new infrastructure construction in China shows a evolution characteristic of increasing year by year. The level of economic resilience in China shows a evolution characteristic of "increasing year by year,short-term decline,and continued rebound". 2) The coupling coordination degree between new infrastructure construction and economic resilience in China continues to rise during the observation period. In terms of space,their coupling coordination degree shows a decreasing spatial evolution characteristics from the east of China to the west of China, with gradually balanced development. The gravity center of their coupling coordination degree moves towards the northwest direction. 3) Virtual agglomeration,investment scale,and educational endowments are all positively driving the improvement of their coupling coordination degree in the local area,government intervention and human capital have a negative impact on their coupling coordination degree in the local area. Investment scale and government intervention have a positive spatial spillover effect,virtual agglomeration and human capital have a negative spatial spillover effect, while the spatial spillover effect of educational endowment is not significant.
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