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Economic geography >

2023 , Vol. 43 >Issue 7: 77 - 87

DOI: https://doi.org/10.15957/j.cnki.jjdl.2023.07.008

Development Level Measurement and Dynamic Evolution of the Modern Marine Industrial System：Based on the Synergetic Development Perspective

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  • 1. Center for Studies of Marine Economy and Sustainable Development,Liaoning Normal University,Dalian 116029,Liaoning,China;
    2. School of Geographical Sciences Liaoning Normal University,Dalian 116029,Liaoning,China

Received date: 2022-06-15

  Revised date: 2023-04-23

  Online published: 2023-11-03

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Abstract

From the perspective of system and synergetic development, this article constructs the theoretical framework of the modern marine industry system based on four aspects of synergetic development which are marine real economy,marine science and technology innovation,marine modern finance and marine human resources. This paper uses the panel vector autoregression (PVAR) model to identify and screen its sensitive factors. Based on the area method of sequential polygons and the Markov chain,it measures the development level of China's modern marine industrial system and analyzes its dynamic evolution characteristics. It's found that: 1) It has 12 evaluation indexes for the development of the modern marine industrial system,which are the intensive use index of sea area,import and export rate of goods in coastal areas,index of advanced marine industrial structure,total marine research funds,per capita research and experiment (R&D) funds,number of marine science and technology activities per 10 000 people,the distribution density of the financial industry in coastal areas,the regional investment efficiency,the proportion of insurance premium income in the gross domestic product (GDP),the per capita education expenditure in coastal areas,the number of professional colleges and universities related to the marine major,and the average wage of employees in urban unit,respectively. 2) From 2005 to 2019,the development level of all dimensions of the modern marine industrial system showed an obviously upward trend,and the discretization degree of all subsystems gradually increased. 3) The overall development level of the system had significantly improved,and the development gap between coastal provinces and cities had been narrowed. In the spatial pattern,it evolved from the point distribution pattern to the clustered distribution pattern and finally formed "one belt and dual cores" distribution pattern of the modern marine industrial system taking Shanghai and Guangdong as the growth pole. 4) The Markov chain results showed that the development state of the modern marine industrial system was stable and there was club convergence,the probability of maintaining the current level of development decreases over time,while the probability of evolving to a higher level of development increase. "Leapfrog" stage evolution would take place,the number of provinces and cities (districts) with high level will continue to increase in the future.

Key words： the modern marine industrial system; synergetic development between four aspects; scientific and technological innovation; human resources; dynamic evolution; marine services; interconnected development between land and marine

Cite this article

WANG Zeyu, CONG Linhui, WANG Yanxi, HAN Zenglin . Development Level Measurement and Dynamic Evolution of the Modern Marine Industrial System：Based on the Synergetic Development Perspective[J]. Economic geography, 2023 , 43(7) : 77 -87 . DOI: 10.15957/j.cnki.jjdl.2023.07.008

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