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Economic geography >

2023 , Vol. 43 >Issue 4: 20 - 31

DOI: https://doi.org/10.15957/j.cnki.jjdl.2023.04.003

Coupling Characteristics and Driving Mechanism of Human Capital and Economic Development in Northeast China Under Local Middle-income Trap Crisis

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  • 1. College of Education for the Future,Beijing Normal University,Zhuhai 519000,Guangdong,China;
    2. Faculty of Geographical Science,Beijing Normal University,Beijing 100875,China;
    3. School of Geographical Sciences,Northeast Normal University,Changchun 130024,Jilin,China;
    4. Key Laboratory of Geographical Processes and Ecological Security of Changbai Mountains,Ministry of Education,Changchun 130024,Jilin,China

Received date: 2022-09-13

  Revised date: 2023-02-10

  Online published: 2023-07-06

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Abstract

This paper attempts to construct a research framework for the coupling between human capital and economic development under the "middle-income trap" crisis. The framework draws on the coupling model to calculate the coupling coordination degree between economic development and human capital in 34 prefecture-level cities in Northeast China from 2004 to 2018,and discusses the characteristics and driving mechanism of its spatio-temporal evolution. The results show that: 1) The high-value regions of human capital mainly distribute in the Harbin-Dalian urban agglomeration and most areas of the middle and south Liaoning urban agglomeration,with a significant spatial agglomeration feature. The economic development level presents a "dual-core and periphery" distribution feature around Shenyang and Harbin. 2) The coupling coordination level between human capital and economic development in Northeast China fluctuates from 2004 to 2018,but the increase is limited,and the basic imbalance areas always take the dominate roles. In terms of spatial distribution,the coupling coordination degree shows a characteristic of core-periphery spatial distribution. Shenyang,Dalian,Changchun and Harbin show obvious advantages in coordination and interaction between human capital and economic development,and the four cities' coordination level dominates the overall systematic coordination and interaction level. 3) From the perspective of driving factors of system coupling coordination,the positive driving effect of demographic dividend is significantly higher than other factors,which indicates that the demographic dividend window of Northeast China is not closed,sustainable economic growth needs to change from the past pursuit of demographic dividend to human capital dividend. In addition,science expenditure,real estate investment and the proportion of added value of tertiary industry can also promote the positive interaction between systems,but the effect intensity is small.

Key words： middle-income trap; human capital; economic development; demographic dividend; coupling coordination; Northeast China

Cite this article

YU Tingting, ZHU Huasheng, ZHANG Shu, HAO Feilong . Coupling Characteristics and Driving Mechanism of Human Capital and Economic Development in Northeast China Under Local Middle-income Trap Crisis[J]. Economic geography, 2023 , 43(4) : 20 -31 . DOI: 10.15957/j.cnki.jjdl.2023.04.003

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